Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 36.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 39.5% vs Hartman 47.3% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.0%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 68.1%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 60.0%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Cogliano
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cogliano
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Cogliano
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
35.8% (53)
47.1% (649)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (110)
45.2% (73)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Cogliano is 36.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Cogliano shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Hartman
Home
40.9% (88)
46.5% (361)
Away
24.0% (75)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Cogliano
Hartman
P1
38.2%
45.1%
P2
28.6%
44.4%
P3
34.2%
50.9%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
33.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |