Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Grant 48.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 62.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 77.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 59.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Copp
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Copp
Grant
Last 6: Copp 2-4 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Grant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Copp
Grant
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
Copp
Grant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
49.1% (222)
+4.5%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
76.5% (17)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
45.3% (181)
+0.7%
On power play, Grant has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Copp
Grant
Home
54.6% (346)
49.8% (223)
Away
51.8% (363)
47.2% (197)
By Period
Copp
Grant
P1
55.3%
43.9%
P2
50.0%
49.7%
P3
55.1%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |