Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Grant 54.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 72.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 50.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 51.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Copp
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Grant
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Copp
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
56.5% (308)
-6.2%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
65.3% (49)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
48.5% (136)
-3.0%
On power play, Grant has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Copp
Grant
Home
51.3% (667)
60.3% (257)
Away
48.3% (632)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Copp
Grant
P1
50.2%
54.7%
P2
51.8%
54.0%
P3
48.0%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Derek Grant |