Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Stepan 46.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 57.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 52.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Copp
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Copp
Stepan
Last 10: Copp 2-8 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
7
Copp
Stepan
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Stepan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
4
Copp
Stepan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
46.5% (10,204)
+5.9%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
48.8% (1,593)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
44.2% (1,368)
+1.1%
On power play, Copp has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Copp
Stepan
Home
52.7% (3,528)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Copp
Stepan
P1
53.0%
47.5%
P2
51.4%
45.6%
P3
51.4%
46.8%
OT
39.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |