Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Stepan 54.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 75.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 51.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 64.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Copp
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Copp
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Copp
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
54.5% (374)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
0.0% (2)
+58.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
64.7% (68)
-18.7%
On power play, Copp has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Copp shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Copp
Stepan
Home
54.6% (346)
54.5% (222)
Away
51.8% (363)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Copp
Stepan
P1
55.3%
57.5%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
55.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |