Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Stepan 53.4% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 63.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Copp
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
55.3% (358)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
0.0% (3)
+54.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
50.8% (61)
-5.3%
On power play, Copp has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Copp
Stepan
Home
51.3% (667)
57.7% (213)
Away
48.3% (632)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Copp
Stepan
P1
50.2%
56.3%
P2
51.8%
48.9%
P3
48.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%