Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.6% vs Toews 57.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 77.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.0%
14.0%
86.0%
Copp
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Copp
Toews
Last 8: Copp 6-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (461)
58.4% (1,115)
-7.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.3% (256)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (107)
50.5% (182)
+4.6%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Copp is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Copp shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Copp
Toews
Home
53.5% (318)
59.5% (783)
Away
49.8% (253)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Copp
Toews
P1
50.0%
58.4%
P2
51.2%
59.4%
P3
53.3%
55.9%
OT
100.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |