Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Toews 61.9% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 72.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 63.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 53.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Copp
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Copp
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Copp
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
61.1% (650)
-10.8%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
71.9% (192)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
59.6% (99)
-14.1%
On power play, Toews has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Copp
Toews
Home
51.3% (667)
64.8% (560)
Away
48.3% (632)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Copp
Toews
P1
50.2%
62.3%
P2
51.8%
63.9%
P3
48.0%
62.8%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2022 | OT | 01:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |