Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Toews 60.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 77.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 76.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 75.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Copp
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Copp
Toews
Last 8: Copp 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Copp
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Copp
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Copp
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
62.5% (696)
-8.2%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
59.6% (141)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
46.9% (32)
-1.3%
On even strength, Toews has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Copp
Toews
Home
54.4% (408)
60.9% (435)
Away
53.4% (410)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Copp
Toews
P1
53.3%
59.8%
P2
54.1%
65.7%
P3
54.9%
58.8%
OT
20.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |