Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Backlund 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 76.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Copp
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Copp
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
50.1% (891)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
53.1% (64)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
47.8% (278)
-2.2%
On power play, Copp has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Copp
Backlund
Home
54.4% (408)
48.1% (580)
Away
53.4% (410)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Copp
Backlund
P1
53.3%
45.1%
P2
54.1%
54.7%
P3
54.9%
49.0%
OT
20.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
60.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |