Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Backlund 50.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 74.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 62.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 69.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Copp
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Copp
Backlund
Last 9: Copp 6-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
51.0% (1,205)
+3.1%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
59.3% (108)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
42.3% (234)
-0.1%
On power play, Copp has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Copp
Backlund
Home
51.9% (511)
51.2% (782)
Away
55.3% (490)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Copp
Backlund
P1
54.1%
51.5%
P2
54.2%
49.8%
P3
52.5%
49.9%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |