Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Backlund 50.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 51.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Copp
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Copp
Backlund
Last 8: Copp 5-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Copp
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
51.9% (1,083)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
51.7% (120)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
44.3% (183)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Copp
Backlund
Home
51.3% (667)
51.9% (673)
Away
48.3% (632)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Copp
Backlund
P1
50.2%
51.4%
P2
51.8%
50.5%
P3
48.0%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
35.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |