Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Roy 48.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 51.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Copp
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Copp
Roy
Last 8: Copp 3-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Copp
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Copp
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
48.3% (633)
+2.0%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
52.1% (48)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
43.7% (87)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Copp
Roy
Home
51.3% (667)
50.8% (376)
Away
48.3% (632)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Copp
Roy
P1
50.2%
53.8%
P2
51.8%
43.5%
P3
48.0%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |