Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Roy 48.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 76.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 55.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 62.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Copp
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Copp
Roy
Last 10: Copp 8-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Copp
Roy
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
48.7% (3,719)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
49.5% (283)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
45.5% (477)
-0.2%
On power play, Copp has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Copp
Roy
Home
52.7% (3,528)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Copp
Roy
P1
53.0%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
46.3%
P3
51.4%
48.1%
OT
39.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:17 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |