Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 46.8% vs Johansen 52.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 50.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 62.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Copp
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Copp
Johansen
Last 5: Copp 3-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (424)
51.9% (1,006)
-4.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
56.0% (207)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
42.4% (33)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Copp is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Copp shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Copp
Johansen
Home
46.2% (251)
56.4% (633)
Away
46.0% (235)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Copp
Johansen
P1
53.1%
51.4%
P2
41.8%
52.9%
P3
43.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |