Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.6%). Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 54.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 55.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Copp
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Copp
Johansen
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Copp
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
5
1
Copp
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
49.4% (1,010)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
62.3% (236)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
67.2% (67)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Copp shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Copp
Johansen
Home
54.6% (346)
54.7% (655)
Away
51.8% (363)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Copp
Johansen
P1
55.3%
52.2%
P2
50.0%
50.7%
P3
55.1%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |