Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 25 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 23-19 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 74.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 51.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Copp
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
19
(42 meetings)
23
19
Copp
Johansen
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
7
Copp
Johansen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
16
9
Copp
Johansen
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
5
3
Copp
Johansen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
53.1% (11,017)
-0.7%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
56.2% (2,163)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
50.5% (978)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Copp
Johansen
Home
52.7% (3,528)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Copp
Johansen
P1
53.0%
53.2%
P2
51.4%
53.9%
P3
51.4%
52.8%
OT
39.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |