Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.6% vs Johansen 55.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 50.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 83.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 67.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Copp
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Johansen
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Copp
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Copp
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (461)
55.9% (1,157)
-4.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
56.5% (237)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (107)
43.3% (67)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Copp shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Copp
Johansen
Home
53.5% (318)
55.8% (733)
Away
49.8% (253)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Copp
Johansen
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
51.2%
55.9%
P3
53.3%
57.2%
OT
100.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |