Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.5%). Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Carrick 53.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 77.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 56.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 58.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Copp
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Carrick
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Copp
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Copp
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
55.1% (439)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
66.7% (3)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
49.1% (53)
-3.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Copp
Carrick
Home
54.4% (408)
58.2% (225)
Away
53.4% (410)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Copp
Carrick
P1
53.3%
56.7%
P2
54.1%
52.8%
P3
54.9%
54.4%
Final 5 min
60.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |