Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Carrick 53.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 68.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 68.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Copp
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Copp
Carrick
Last 7: Copp 4-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Copp
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
53.8% (654)
-2.6%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
0.0% (2)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
63.9% (36)
-16.3%
On power play, Copp has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Copp is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Copp shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Copp
Carrick
Home
52.0% (348)
50.0% (328)
Away
49.1% (279)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Copp
Carrick
P1
48.4%
56.7%
P2
50.2%
51.1%
P3
53.4%
54.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |