Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Carrick 52.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 74.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 62.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Copp
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Copp
Carrick
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Copp
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
5
Copp
Carrick
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
52.1% (2,513)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
61.3% (75)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
50.7% (430)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Copp
Carrick
Home
52.7% (3,528)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Copp
Carrick
P1
53.0%
51.8%
P2
51.4%
52.2%
P3
51.4%
52.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |