Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Steel 52.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 56.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 53.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Copp
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Copp
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Copp
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Copp
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
56.9% (320)
-5.7%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
71.4% (7)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
37.0% (73)
+10.6%
On power play, Steel has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Copp
Steel
Home
52.0% (348)
55.9% (202)
Away
49.1% (279)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Copp
Steel
P1
48.4%
55.5%
P2
50.2%
55.1%
P3
53.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.7%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |