Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Aho 51.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 68.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 79.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 54.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Copp
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Copp
Aho
Last 8: Copp 3-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
4
Copp
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Copp
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
48.5% (778)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
63.4% (191)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
50.8% (65)
-5.3%
On power play, Aho has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Copp
Aho
Home
51.3% (667)
51.3% (530)
Away
48.3% (632)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Copp
Aho
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
51.3%
P3
48.0%
52.1%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |