Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.1%). Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Aho 53.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 76.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 75.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Copp
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Copp
Aho
Last 9: Copp 5-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Copp
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
51.2% (785)
+2.9%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
63.8% (213)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
57.9% (57)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Copp
Aho
Home
51.9% (511)
54.9% (548)
Away
55.3% (490)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Copp
Aho
P1
54.1%
52.8%
P2
54.2%
58.9%
P3
52.5%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |