Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Johnson 45.7% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 61.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 87.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 82.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Copp
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Copp
Johnson
Last 7: Copp 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
44.6% (285)
+9.5%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
46.7% (60)
+30.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
16.7% (6)
+25.5%
On power play, Copp has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Copp
Johnson
Home
51.9% (511)
50.8% (179)
Away
55.3% (490)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Copp
Johnson
P1
54.1%
41.3%
P2
54.2%
41.8%
P3
52.5%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |