Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 61.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 59.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Copp
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Copp
Johnson
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Copp
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
49.8% (5,396)
+2.6%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
54.6% (885)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
42.3% (707)
+3.0%
On power play, Copp has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Copp
Johnson
Home
52.7% (3,528)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Copp
Johnson
P1
53.0%
50.1%
P2
51.4%
50.6%
P3
51.4%
48.4%
OT
39.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |