Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Lazar 49.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 62.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 69.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 65.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Cirelli
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
51.3% (232)
-4.9%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
0.0% (1)
+57.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
37.8% (45)
-0.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lazar
Home
46.7% (478)
43.5% (131)
Away
46.4% (470)
53.7% (147)
By Period
Cirelli
Lazar
P1
46.6%
53.8%
P2
48.6%
50.5%
P3
44.3%
41.2%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |