Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Lazar 49.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Cirelli
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cirelli
Lazar
Last 5: Cirelli 1-4 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Cirelli
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Cirelli
Lazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
48.7% (302)
+2.2%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
44.4% (9)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
50.0% (54)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lazar
Home
50.6% (494)
49.2% (189)
Away
47.6% (441)
48.3% (176)
By Period
Cirelli
Lazar
P1
52.3%
50.8%
P2
45.4%
45.2%
P3
49.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |