Anthony Cirelli vs Derek Stepan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Stepan 46.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 54.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Cirelli
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Cirelli
Stepan
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
6
Cirelli
Stepan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cirelli
Stepan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
46.5% (10,204)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
48.8% (1,593)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
44.2% (1,368)
-0.4%
On power play, Cirelli has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stepan
Home
49.6% (3,763)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Cirelli
Stepan
P1
49.9%
47.5%
P2
48.8%
45.6%
P3
49.2%
46.8%
OT
51.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |