Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Stepan 53.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 50.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 56.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Cirelli
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Cirelli
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
55.3% (358)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
0.0% (3)
+56.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
50.8% (61)
-4.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stepan
Home
52.4% (462)
57.7% (213)
Away
50.1% (369)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Cirelli
Stepan
P1
50.7%
56.3%
P2
49.6%
48.9%
P3
53.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |