Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Haula 52.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 58.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 64.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 63.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Cirelli
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cirelli
Haula
Last 8: Cirelli 6-2 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Haula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Haula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Haula
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
52.9% (612)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
56.3% (32)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
48.0% (75)
+0.7%
On even strength, Haula has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Haula
Home
46.7% (649)
54.2% (345)
Away
53.5% (643)
51.1% (374)
By Period
Cirelli
Haula
P1
50.1%
55.8%
P2
51.1%
48.0%
P3
48.5%
54.1%
OT
64.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Erik Haula |