Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Haula 52.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 34-26 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 68.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 66.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 68.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Cirelli
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
26
(60 meetings)
34
26
Cirelli
Haula
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
12
10
Cirelli
Haula
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
11
5
Cirelli
Haula
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Cirelli
Haula
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
52.9% (7,683)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
57.5% (603)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
43.5% (791)
+0.3%
On even strength, Haula has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Haula
Home
49.6% (3,763)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Cirelli
Haula
P1
49.9%
53.2%
P2
48.8%
51.4%
P3
49.2%
52.7%
OT
51.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |