Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Miller 55.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 59.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 50.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 52.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Cirelli
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cirelli
Miller
Last 6: Cirelli 3-3 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Cirelli
Miller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
2
Cirelli
Miller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Miller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
56.3% (1,033)
-5.4%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
62.5% (253)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
47.4% (175)
-3.4%
On power play, Miller has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Miller
Home
50.6% (494)
58.6% (734)
Away
47.6% (441)
54.1% (727)
By Period
Cirelli
Miller
P1
52.3%
57.1%
P2
45.4%
57.0%
P3
49.5%
54.7%
OT
62.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |