Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Miller 54.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 89.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 87.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 82.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Cirelli
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
21
(31 meetings)
10
21
Cirelli
Miller
Last 10: Cirelli 2-8 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
11
Cirelli
Miller
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
3
Cirelli
Miller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
6
7
Cirelli
Miller
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
55.2% (6,648)
-5.4%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
57.9% (1,285)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
48.2% (913)
-4.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Miller
Home
49.6% (3,763)
55.9% (4,578)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
53.8% (4,268)
By Period
Cirelli
Miller
P1
49.9%
54.7%
P2
48.8%
55.6%
P3
49.2%
54.0%
OT
51.6%
62.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |