Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Hughes 38.6% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 76.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Cirelli
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cirelli
Hughes
Last 9: Cirelli 4-5 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Cirelli
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
3
Cirelli
Hughes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
35.6% (362)
+12.2%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
38.5% (91)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
33.3% (9)
+8.4%
On power play, Cirelli has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cirelli is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Cirelli shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hughes
Home
45.4% (469)
37.6% (255)
Away
49.7% (445)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Cirelli
Hughes
P1
46.3%
28.5%
P2
46.3%
39.2%
P3
49.6%
40.8%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |