Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Hughes 36.6% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 28-16 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 77.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 98.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 95.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Cirelli
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
16
(44 meetings)
28
16
Cirelli
Hughes
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cirelli
Hughes
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
9
4
Cirelli
Hughes
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
15
8
Cirelli
Hughes
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
36.0% (2,887)
+13.8%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
38.8% (224)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
31.0% (42)
+12.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hughes
Home
49.6% (3,763)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Cirelli
Hughes
P1
49.9%
36.9%
P2
48.8%
33.6%
P3
49.2%
38.1%
OT
51.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |