Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Hughes 39.2% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 57.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 88.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 85.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Cirelli
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Cirelli
Hughes
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Cirelli
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Hughes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
2
Cirelli
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
37.9% (623)
+12.0%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
33.3% (33)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
36.4% (11)
+12.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hughes
Home
46.7% (649)
36.6% (314)
Away
53.5% (643)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Cirelli
Hughes
P1
50.1%
36.4%
P2
51.1%
35.6%
P3
48.5%
41.8%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |