Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Carter 56.4% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 55.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Cirelli
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Cirelli
Carter
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cirelli
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Cirelli
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
57.9% (885)
-11.5%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
61.7% (133)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
45.4% (119)
-7.9%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Carter
Home
46.7% (478)
58.2% (543)
Away
46.4% (470)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Cirelli
Carter
P1
46.6%
57.5%
P2
48.6%
57.1%
P3
44.3%
55.8%
OT
44.4%
68.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |