Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Carter 60.1% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 52.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 85.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 67.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 85.7%
14.3%
85.7%
Cirelli
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
65.6% (262)
-14.7%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
68.3% (63)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
50.5% (99)
-6.5%
On power play, Carter has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Carter
Home
50.6% (494)
64.3% (207)
Away
47.6% (441)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Cirelli
Carter
P1
52.3%
65.3%
P2
45.4%
60.1%
P3
49.5%
63.8%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |