Anthony Cirelli vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.9%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 60.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
51.7% (586)
-0.8%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
48.1% (52)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
62.5% (8)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.6% (494)
49.5% (313)
Away
47.6% (441)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.3%
54.5%
P2
45.4%
51.1%
P3
49.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |