Anthony Cirelli vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 55.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 56.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Last 8: Cirelli 3-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
52.8% (670)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
37.5% (32)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
14.3% (7)
+34.4%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Home
46.7% (649)
52.5% (366)
Away
53.5% (643)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
P1
50.1%
53.8%
P2
51.1%
49.2%
P3
48.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |