Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.7%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Norris 49.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 63.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 55.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Cirelli
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Cirelli
Norris
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Cirelli
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
2
Cirelli
Norris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
50.0% (356)
+0.4%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
48.7% (76)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
42.9% (7)
-6.4%
On power play, Cirelli has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Norris
Home
54.2% (395)
47.2% (193)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Cirelli
Norris
P1
50.8%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
48.2%
P3
46.6%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |