Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Norris 51.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 55.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 61.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Cirelli
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Cirelli
Norris
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
6
Cirelli
Norris
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
51.2% (886)
-4.8%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
59.0% (83)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
38.8% (67)
-1.3%
On even strength, Norris has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Norris
Home
46.7% (478)
55.6% (487)
Away
46.4% (470)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Cirelli
Norris
P1
46.6%
54.8%
P2
48.6%
51.3%
P3
44.3%
48.0%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |