Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Norris 51.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Cirelli
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Cirelli
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Cirelli
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Cirelli
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
52.2% (542)
-1.3%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
54.4% (57)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
46.7% (30)
-2.7%
On power play, Norris has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Norris
Home
50.6% (494)
50.7% (351)
Away
47.6% (441)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Cirelli
Norris
P1
52.3%
55.6%
P2
45.4%
49.3%
P3
49.5%
52.1%
OT
62.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Josh Norris |