Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 62.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 59.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Cirelli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
21
(30 meetings)
9
21
Cirelli
Eller
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
5
Cirelli
Eller
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
7
Cirelli
Eller
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
9
Cirelli
Eller
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
51.1% (10,296)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
52.8% (621)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
46.7% (1,751)
-2.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Eller
Home
49.6% (3,763)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Cirelli
Eller
P1
49.9%
51.2%
P2
48.8%
50.1%
P3
49.2%
50.2%
OT
51.6%
56.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |