Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Eller 51.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 53.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 54.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Cirelli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cirelli
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
52.8% (650)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
69.2% (13)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
45.5% (88)
+3.2%
On power play, Eller has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Eller
Home
46.7% (649)
52.6% (340)
Away
53.5% (643)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Cirelli
Eller
P1
50.1%
52.4%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |