Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Eller 52.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 70.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Cirelli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cirelli
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Cirelli
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Cirelli
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
52.8% (742)
-1.9%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
67.6% (34)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
46.2% (156)
-2.2%
On power play, Eller has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Eller
Home
50.6% (494)
54.5% (448)
Away
47.6% (441)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Cirelli
Eller
P1
52.3%
52.8%
P2
45.4%
50.9%
P3
49.5%
53.4%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |