Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cirelli wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs Eller 49.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Cirelli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cirelli
Eller
Last 7: Cirelli 2-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Cirelli
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
Cirelli
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
49.9% (821)
+2.9%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
52.7% (74)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
43.9% (214)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cirelli is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Cirelli shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Eller
Home
54.5% (466)
49.4% (559)
Away
51.1% (485)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Cirelli
Eller
P1
48.6%
50.1%
P2
54.8%
46.7%
P3
55.8%
49.9%
OT
41.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |