Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Eller 51.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 69.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 67.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 68.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Cirelli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Cirelli
Eller
Last 10: Cirelli 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Cirelli
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Cirelli
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
52.8% (769)
-5.0%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
54.7% (75)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
46.8% (188)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cirelli is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Cirelli shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Eller
Home
45.4% (469)
51.3% (513)
Away
49.7% (445)
52.5% (520)
By Period
Cirelli
Eller
P1
46.3%
50.3%
P2
46.3%
52.8%
P3
49.6%
51.4%
OT
46.2%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |