Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Necas 46.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 80.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 51.7%
Neutral zone
Necas 61.8%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Cirelli
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Necas
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
4
Cirelli
Necas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Necas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Necas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
44.5% (339)
+7.6%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
47.4% (57)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
47.6% (21)
-1.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Necas
Home
52.4% (462)
44.8% (203)
Away
50.1% (369)
45.3% (214)
By Period
Cirelli
Necas
P1
50.7%
46.8%
P2
49.6%
40.0%
P3
53.3%
50.0%
OT
61.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |